Kyle Handley
Kyle Handley
Robert Lighthizer, former US trade representative.
Robert Lighthizer’s recent New York Times op-ed presents a dire view of US trade policy, arguing that trade deficits, foreign ownership of US assets, and policy failures have left the country vulnerable. His solution? An elaborate new system of tariffs designed to enforce balance in bilateral trade. But this one-dimensional argument is built on a misleading interpretation of data and an outdated understanding of trade; it’s also simply unrealistic.
There is a balance of payments where US deficits in goods and services trade are offset by net capital inflows. Without digging too deep into the data, one can do a little accounting on both sides of the ledger sheet to see that the US trade and investment positions are not the lose-lose situation that Lighthizer claims. Foreign capital plays an important role in financing US growth; US services exports are a key strength ignored when focusing on goods trade; and bilateral trade imbalances—when examined closely—do not support his theory that foreign trade partners running a surplus are engaging in wholesale predatory behavior at the expense of their own citizens.
The Misleading $20 Trillion Foreign Wealth Transfer
One of Lighthizer’s central arguments is that the US has “transferred” $20 trillion of its wealth to foreign entities. The implication is that the country has been drained of resources due to trade deficits, leaving it at the mercy of foreign creditors. But this is a misrepresentation of what these international investment flows mean in practice.
The $20 trillion figure he cites refers to the net international investment position (NIIP), which measures the difference between US-owned assets abroad and foreign-owned assets in the United States. When we look at gross versus net figures, they tell a different story: As of Q3 2024, US assets abroad totaled $37.86 trillion, » Read More
https://www.cato.org/blog/one-dimensional-focus-balanced-trade-does-not-support-case-more-tariffs-response-robert