Roy Spencer
We are constantly reminded that we are experiencing a climate crisis, but as a climate scientist, I can tell you that’s not what the science has shown us so far. Other than modest warming, there has been little change in any kind of severe weather that can be attributed to global greenhouse gas emissions.
You don’t have to take my word for it, despite my credentials. It’s the conclusion of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Its most recent report concludes that, other than direct temperature-related effects, there have been virtually no changes in severe weather that we can confidently attribute to greenhouse gas emissions from the burning of fossil fuels.
And they do not anticipate that conclusion to change much, even by the end of this century.
Yet media reports on every tornado or hurricane that affects us are often accompanied by claims like “experts say we can expect more of this with climate change.” It doesn’t matter that there has been no long-term trend in U.S. landfalling hurricanes since the mid-1800s, or that the incidence of strong to violent tornadoes in the U.S. is down 50% since the 1950s.
Yes, storm damages have increased substantially in recent decades, but that’s only because there is so much more infrastructure for storms to destroy now. It’s not due to worse weather.
Dubious Model Projections
Virtually all the three dozen climate models the IPCC relies upon for projections of climate change have predicted too much global-average warming since the 1970s. Amazingly, all of them have overestimated the observed weak summertime warming in the agriculturally critical Corn Belt. Yet governments around the world use these models to justify restrictions on fossil fuel use.
Sea level rise was occurring in the late 1800s, before CO2 could be blamed. We are likely contributing to that problem, » Read More
https://www.heritage.org/climate/commentary/climate-change-the-science-doesnt-support-the-heated-rhetoric